What Can Home Buyers and Sellers Expect in 2019?
Louisiana Realtors • January 30, 2019
As quickly as 2018 ended, 2019 has arrived. And as with each new year, especially in the world of residential real estate, a lot more than just the calendar is expected to change. These expectations can mean a lot if you are planning to buy or sell a home in the coming months. So, just like you’d check the weather before making outdoor plans on the weekend, let’s look at a few things that are being forecast for the year ahead.
Mortgage Rates Will be on the Rise
While mortgage rates are still below the levels they reached during the recession, they will continue the steady climb we’ve seen over the past two years. However, rates will remain below average in spite of the strong economic environment we’re experiencing. By the end of 2019, 30-year fixed rate mortgages are expected to 5.8%
In Spite of Rising Rates, Home Sales to Millennials Will Increase
Even with mortgage rates on the rise, demand from Millennials will continue to increase. This surge will add to the growth of first-time homebuyers. 45% of home purchases are expected to be from Millennials, compared to 37% from Gen Xers, and 17% from Baby Boomers.
Inventory Will Improve
Compared to 2018 the increased demand from first-time buyers will be met by a slightly higher inventory level in 2019. The number of homes being put on the market and newly constructed homes increasing, combined with a slower pace of sales will improve inventory for home buyers.
Home Price Growth Will Slow
Another benefit for home buyers in 2019 will be a slow down in home price appreciation. This is a result of increasing inventory. Recent years have seen anywhere from a 5-10% increase in home prices. With buyers having more options, coupled with higher interest rates, price growth is expected to drop from 1-3%.
From the Louisiana Department of Insurance: Insurance Commissioner Tim Temple announced today that the Louisiana Department of Insurance (LDI) continues its work to develop a regulation creating benchmark discounts for Fortified roofs in Louisiana. The LDI is working with the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) to develop the benchmark discounts using Louisiana-specific data, hurricane modeling and actuarial considerations. “With over 11,000 Fortified roofs in Louisiana and two years-worth of insurer experience with rating for those roofs in our state, now is an appropriate time for the LDI to establish benchmark discounts for homeowners insurance companies operating in our market,” said Commissioner Temple. “These benchmarks are being thoughtfully developed to help consumers receive the discounts they deserve for fortifying their homes while making sure insurers know the benchmarks reflect how much Fortified roofs actually mitigate their exposure to risk across Louisiana.” Like in Alabama’s Fortified benchmark discount structure, the LDI regulation would require Louisiana insurance companies to either meet the minimum benchmark discount established by the LDI or provide actuarial justification for why the company’s discount does not meet the benchmark. Louisiana is the fastest growing state for Fortified roofs in America. To date, over 11,000 Fortified roofs have been installed in Louisiana, including over 4,100 through the Louisiana Fortify Homes Program.
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